|
Item
|
PC (%)
|
Trend 1#
|
Trend 2#
|
|---|
|
APC (%)
|
95% CI (%)
|
Period
|
t
|
P
|
APC (%)
|
95% CI (%)
|
Period
|
t
|
P
|
|---|
|
Incidence
|
|
Total
|
27.0
|
6.2
|
0.5 to 12.3
|
2003–2006
|
2.802
|
0.038
|
0.7
|
− 1.2 to 2.6
|
2007–2012
|
0.937
|
0.392
|
|
Urban areas
|
20.4
|
8.5
|
0.0 to 17.6
|
2003–2005
|
2.582
|
0.049
|
0.3
|
− 0.8 to 1.4
|
2006–2012
|
0.633
|
0.554
|
|
Rural areas
|
61.1
|
6.0
|
3.8 to 8.2
|
2003–2012
|
6.333
|
< 0.001
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
|
Males
|
30.7
|
2.5
|
1.5 to 3.5
|
2003–2012
|
5.951
|
< 0.001
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
|
Females
|
17.7
|
5.5
|
− 0.9 to 12.3
|
2003–2007
|
2.181
|
0.081
|
− 1.6
|
− 5.9 to 2.9
|
2008–2012
|
− 0.932
|
0.394
|
|
Mortality
|
|
Total
|
23.9
|
2.5
|
1.7 to 3.3
|
2003–2012
|
7.165
|
< 0.001
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
|
Urban areas
|
22.3
|
2.3
|
1.4 to 3.1
|
2003–2012
|
6.037
|
< 0.001
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
|
Rural areas
|
25.9
|
3.2
|
0.9 to 5.6
|
2003–2012
|
3.275
|
0.011
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
|
Males
|
33.6
|
2.9
|
2.0 to 3.9
|
2003–2012
|
7.156
|
< 0.001
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
|
Females
|
− 3.6
|
0.8
|
− 1.1 to 2.7
|
2003–2012
|
0.945
|
0.372
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
- PC percentage change, APC annual percentage change, CI confidence interval
- #The program started with the minimum number of joinpoint (e.g., 0 joinpoint, which is a straight line) and tested whether more joinpoints are statistically significant and must be added to the model (up to that maximum number), enabling the user to test whether an apparent change in trend is statistically significant. The significance was tested using a Monte Carlo Permutation method. To reduce the possibility of reporting spurious changes in trends over the period, all models were restricted to a maximum of 2 joinpoints
