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Table 3 Trends of incidence and mortality of OPC in China, 2003–2012

From: Incidence, mortality, and temporal patterns of oropharyngeal cancer in China: a population-based study

Item

PC (%)

Trend 1#

Trend 2#

APC (%)

95% CI (%)

Period

t

P

APC (%)

95% CI (%)

Period

t

P

Incidence

 Total

27.0

6.2

0.5 to 12.3

2003–2006

2.802

0.038

0.7

− 1.2 to 2.6

2007–2012

0.937

0.392

 Urban areas

20.4

8.5

0.0 to 17.6

2003–2005

2.582

0.049

0.3

− 0.8 to 1.4

2006–2012

0.633

0.554

 Rural areas

61.1

6.0

3.8 to 8.2

2003–2012

6.333

< 0.001

 Males

30.7

2.5

1.5 to 3.5

2003–2012

5.951

< 0.001

 Females

17.7

5.5

− 0.9 to 12.3

2003–2007

2.181

0.081

− 1.6

− 5.9 to 2.9

2008–2012

− 0.932

0.394

Mortality

 Total

23.9

2.5

1.7 to 3.3

2003–2012

7.165

< 0.001

 Urban areas

22.3

2.3

1.4 to 3.1

2003–2012

6.037

< 0.001

 Rural areas

25.9

3.2

0.9 to 5.6

2003–2012

3.275

0.011

 Males

33.6

2.9

2.0 to 3.9

2003–2012

7.156

< 0.001

 Females

− 3.6

0.8

− 1.1 to 2.7

2003–2012

0.945

0.372

  1. PC percentage change, APC annual percentage change, CI confidence interval
  2. #The program started with the minimum number of joinpoint (e.g., 0 joinpoint, which is a straight line) and tested whether more joinpoints are statistically significant and must be added to the model (up to that maximum number), enabling the user to test whether an apparent change in trend is statistically significant. The significance was tested using a Monte Carlo Permutation method. To reduce the possibility of reporting spurious changes in trends over the period, all models were restricted to a maximum of 2 joinpoints